Knowing that goal scoring can be streaky and that shooting percentages don’t normally undergo mass fluctuations, it would’ve been wise to jump on Fiala’s goal props at the first sign of a breakthrough. Entering this season, Fiala owned an 11.0 shooting percentage, which tells us that his 4.3% mark wasn’t destined to last much longer. Shooting percentages tend to hold fairly steady on a year-to-year basis, and a quick look at his career rate would’ve suggested a correction was coming. 20, the games following that performance would’ve been the best time to start betting Fiala’s goal props. When Fiala scored two goals against the Dallas Stars on Dec.
Prior to that scoring outburst, the Swiss star had potted just four goals on an unsustainably low 4.3 shooting percentage, according to Hockey Reference. What makes Fiala a great example to follow is his shooting percentage. Of the winger’s first 20 goals in the 2021-22 season, eight came in a 10-game span from late December to the end of January.
Take Minnesota Wild forward Kevin Fiala, for example. One thing to know about NHL players is that they tend to score in bunches. Sure, Auston Matthews and Alexander Ovechkin are going to score goals by the boatload, but how do you hit on players who have longer odds? Outside of the top goalscorers in the NHL, it’s hard to truly rely on anyone to score goals routinely. NHL betting strategies for props The streakier the better Unsurprisingly, they’re among the top under teams in the NHL. The New York Rangers, Los Angeles Kings and Carolina Hurricanes own some of the lowest goals-against rates this season. When looking at under bets, it’s wise to target teams that don’t allow many goals. It’s no coincidence that all three squads are among the top overs teams in the NHL, according to Scores and Odds. Teams that typically score a lot of goals tend to go over, while teams that don’t allow or score a lot of goals tend to go under.įor example, the Colorado Avalanche, Florida Panthers and Minnesota Wild are three of the highest-scoring teams in the league as of March 2022. Using this tool, you can determine when there’s a good opportunity to attack a team playing a game in consecutive nights. Naturally, some teams handle the challenge better than others. Fatigue may become a factor, which is usually incorporated in the odds.Ī resource like the one provided by More Hockey Stats helps quantify the true disadvantage a team has playing in a back-to-back game. In some cases, a team will play two games in as many nights, or three contests in four days. The schedule creates competitive advantages and disadvantages for NHL teams. A particularly hot or cold power play or penalty kill could create an edge. Recent overall results are important to look at, but reviewing a club’s performance on special teams helps take things a step further. On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Penguins had a top-10 power play and penalty kill during a 10-game winning streak that same season. During a horrific 13-game losing streak that lasted nearly all of January 2022, Philly was the only team to rank bottom-five in both power play and penalty kill percentage. The Philadelphia Flyers recently provided an extreme example of this. If a flaw is exposed or a team is struggling on special teams, those issues may persist for a string of games. The NHL schedule is compact, and teams don’t have much time between games to resolve issues. If McDavid is slated to miss an upcoming game, betting against the Oilers could be a smart play. When one or more top players are missing from a team, its chance of winning is negatively impacted, at least in theory.įor example, the Edmonton Oilers are 18-22-9 all-time (.367 win percentage), according to StatMuse, as of March 2022 without Connor McDavid in the lineup. Injuries impact the odds of all hockey games. The difference in quality between a starting goalie and a third-stringer can be the difference in a team being labelled as a favourite or underdog by the oddsmaker. Knowing who the starting goalies are is must-know information.
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